Trump-Modi’s relations with Russian oil hit Rock Botm at new rates on India

Trump-Modi’s relations with Russian oil hit Rock Botm at new rates on India

Vikas Pandey

BBC News, Delhi

grey-placeholder Trump-Modi's relations with Russian oil hit Rock Botm at new rates on India849a5c30-72ae-11f0-89ea-4d6f9851f623.jpg Trump-Modi's relations with Russian oil hit Rock Botm at new rates on IndiaRooters

Donald Trump has accused India of financing the Russian war against Ukraine and financing India.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi was one of the first global leaders to visit Washington a week since US President Donald Trump started his second term.

He called Modi his “great friend” as the two countries set up The ambitious target of doubleing their trade $ 500 billion by 2030.

But after less than six months, it seems that the rock bottle has been hit.

Trump has now imposed a total of 50% rates Goods imported from IndiaAnd they are in danger of charging an additional 10% for a member of the BRICS grouping, which is still as the founding member of China, Russia and South Africa.

He initially raised a 25% rate, but Delhi announced an additional 25% on Wednesday as a penalty for the purchase of Russian oil – this is called the Indian government called “unjust, unjust and unrealistic”.

And last week, Trump called India’s economy “dead”.

This is an amazing opposite, which has been in power over the last two decades, with the efforts of the government’s consecutive governments, bilateral support and convergence on global issues.

Over the past few weeks, there was a positive signal about a close trade agreement from Washington and Delhi. If not impossible now it looks even more difficult.

So what’s wrong?

Missatpes, Grandsanding, Ground -political and domestic political pressure appear to have reduced negotiations.

Trump’s Tyrides have been stopped in Delhi so far. But there is no guarantee in Trump’s White House.

Trump has commented on many issues that Delhi considers red lines. The largest of them is to keep Trump frequently India and its rival Pakistan on the same foundation??

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Trump has warned high rates against India if he continues to buy Russian oil

The US President organizing Pakistani military chief Asim Munir A few weeks later in the White House after a bitter conflict between the two South Asian rivals.

He then signed a trade agreement with Pakistan and gave the country a 5 % preferred rate of 5 % with the agreement to detect the country’s oil reserves. He was saying that some days Pakistan would have sold oil in India.

Another constant irritation for Delhi is the United States and Pakistan.

India sees the internal relationship with Pakistan on Kashmir, and has always been rejected by the third-party mediation on this topic. Most of the leaders, including Trump, are sensitive to Delhi’s location.

But that’s not the case now. Modi told the Indian Parliament that “the US president has doubled his claim that” no country was intervened in the country “.

Modi did not name Trump or the United States, but the domestic political pressure has risen to him without “bending” the White House.

Washington-based South Asia analyst Michael Kuglman says, “This is happening in the wake of the heavy and high-level US investment with Islamabad immediately after the India-Pakistan struggle, which is more important to Delhi and the widespread Indians.”

He further said that some of the anger in Delhi may “be the stuff in the cold war era”, but “this time has intensified by real-time developments”.

Modi’s government was prosperous on the issues of NCP, so its supporters will expect the United States to strongly respond.

This is a catch -2 situation – Delhi still wants to make a contract but do not want to come as a Buckling under Trump’s pressure.

And it seems that Delhi is slowly releasing restraint. Responding to the anger about the purchase of Russian oil Washington, Delhi promised to take “all necessary measures” to protect its “national interest and financial security”.

But the question is why Trump, who loved India’s hospitality and has previously called him a great country, went to Tirde against a trusted friend.

Some analysts see as a pressure trick to secure the contract that insults for the United States.

“Trump is a real estate magnet and a rigorous negotiations. His style cannot be diplomatic, but he tries to find out the diplomats. Therefore, I think what he is doing is a part of the negotiation policy,” says Jitendra Nath Misra, former Ambassador of Zindal Global University. Are.

Sources in the Indian government said that Delhi gave many concessions to Washington, including any rates on industrial goods and minimum reduction on motor and alcohol prices. Ilon Musk’s Starlink signed a contract to launch an operation in India.

But Washington wanted to enter India’s agriculture and dairy sector to reduce the B55 billion trade deficit, which was running with Delhi.

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Delhi has said that India and Russia have a time-test partnership

But this area is a red line for Modi or for any Indian Prime Minister in that regard. In the agricultural and related sectors, there is more than 45% of employment in India and and The continuous governments have been very protected to the farmers??

Shri Kugalman believes that giving Washington’s demands is not an option for India.

He says, “At first India needs to explain that the people will not stop the anger and pressure of the people. It is serious for domestic political reasons,” he says.

He believes Trump’s insistence on stopping the import of oil from Moscow. Rising depression Russian President Vladimir Putin.

He says, “Trump has seen a penalty for doing business with Moscow, trying to keep Russia away from his most important oil buyers,” he says, “he says.

But Delhi cannot afford to stop importing oil from Russia overnight.

According to the International Energy Agency (IA), India is the third largest consumer in the world by 2030, and China is at the top of the 2030.

Russia contributes more than 30% of India’s total oil imports, which is less than 1% in 2021-22.

Many people from the west saw that India is indirectly financing the Moscow war, but Delhi has rejected it, arguing that buying Russian oil concessions provides energy to its billions of citizens.

India sees Russia as a “all weather” as a collision. Moscow has traditionally come to Delhi for the rescue of the previous crisis and still receives support for widespread Indian people.

According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Moscow is also the largest weapon supplier in Delhi, though it has dropped to 36% of India’s defense import portfolio between 2 and 5-5.

This is mainly due to Delhi’s domestic production and more purchases from France, France and Israel.

But Russia’s role cannot be reduced in Russia’s defense strategy. This is something that West understands and not challenged – unless Trump has decided to break it from established criteria.

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India and the United States jointly launched a Nisar satellite last month

Until now, the strong relationship with Russia has been able to successfully run on the diplomatic titrop on the west.

The United States has seen a lot of India against China’s dominance in the Indo-Pacific region, which ensures bilateral support to Delhi in Washington.

And Moscow (sometimes unwilling) did not react to his allies to have close relations with Washington and other Western countries.

But now Trump has challenged this post. How Delhi reacts will determine the future of India-America’s relationship.

India has been counted in the response so far but it does not completely withdraw. His statement states that the United States has encouraged Russia to buy oil from Russia for the stability of the global energy market.

It has also been said that EU has continued to buy energy, fertilizers, minerals and chemical products from Russia.

Although things seem bad, some analysts say that everything is not lost. There are close links in many regions of India and the United States, which cannot be overnight.

Both countries cooperate closely in the fields of space technology, IT, education and defense.

Most of the major home -based IT companies have invested heavily in the United States and many large silicone valley companies are working in India.

“I think the fundamental principles of this relationship are not weak. On the day when Trump declared 25% of the rates and unrestricted penalties by Trump, India and the United States cooperated in the strategic field Indian rockets jointly developed satellites sent to space“Sri Mishra says.

It would be interesting to see how India reacts to Trump’s intense speech.

“Trump is unpleasant and professional from the point of view of a foreign policy. They have no difference about deploying things to reflect this potentially against a close trick against a close US spouse like India.”

But he goes on to say that in the last two decades, the work that has gone into it has a lot of faith in the partnership.

“So what is lost can be regenerated potentially. But due to the existing illness, it can take a long time.”

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